Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.4%) and 0-2 (4.78%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.