Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.68% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%) , while for a Elgin City win it was 1-0 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.