Scottish League Two
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT K Park Training Academy
  • Bobby McLuckie 30' goal
  • João Balde 34' goal
  • John Robertson 38' goal
  • Keir Foster 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Honeyman 64'
  • yellowcard Scott Tomlinson 64'
  • yellowcard Scott Honeyman 65'
  • yellowcard Scott Tomlinson 65'
  • goal Ali Omar 67'
  • yellowcard Tobi Joseph 80'
  • yellowcard Aaron Brown 80'
  • yellowcard Ryan Blair 80'

East Kilbride vs Dumbarton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

East Kilbride

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Elgin 1 - 6 East Kilbride
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
John Robertson

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Dumbarton 0 - 0 Stranraer
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Leighton McIntosh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 53.02%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 1-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (5.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

East Kilbride 53.02% (-0.02)
Draw 22.16% (-0.06)
Dumbarton 24.82% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.36%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.58%
Under 1.5 16.42%
Over 2.5 62.57% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 37.43% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 40.64% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 59.36% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 24.77% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 75.23% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

East Kilbride 43.28%
Draw 35.67%
Dumbarton 21.05%

Team To Score First

East Kilbride 59.86% (+0.01)
No Goal 4.3% (-0.03)
Dumbarton 35.84% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.64% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.44%
Under 8 25.92% (-0.04)
Over 9 52.5% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.14% (+0.01)
Under 9 36.36% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 41.58% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 58.42% (-0.02)

East Kilbride Goals

Over 1.5 55.64% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 44.36% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 30.12%
Under 2.5 69.88%
Over 3.5 13.23% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 86.77% (-0.04)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 62.79% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 37.21% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 31.43%
Under 1.5 68.57%
Over 2.5 12.28% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.72% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.91% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.09% (-0.01)

Score analysis

East Kilbride 53.02%
Draw 22.16%
Dumbarton 24.82%
East Kilbride
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.53% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.21% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.97% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 13.2% (+0.04)
Total : 53.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32%
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.02)
Total : 22.16%
Dumbarton
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.91% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.88% (+0.03)
Total : 24.82%

Head to Head

Scottish League Two
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Dominic Docherty 3' goal
  • Mark Durnan 26' goal
  • Kai Kirkpatrick 72' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • Mark Durnan 75' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • Leighton McIntosh 88' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Spence 33'
  • yellowcard Lewis Spence 35'
  • yellowcard Jack Leitch 74'
  • yellowcard Jack Leitch 75'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • yellowcard 88'
Scottish League Two
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Jul 13, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Kalvin Orsi 16' goal
  • James Hilton 24' yellowcard
  • Tony Wallace 89' yellowcard
  • goal David Wilson 7' (OG)
  • yellowcard Andrew McDonald 40'
  • yellowcard Jack Leitch 42'
  • yellowcard Keir Samson 89'