Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.