Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.