Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Spartans win was 0-1 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.