Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.06% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%) , while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.