National League South Gameweek 26
Feb 2, 2026 7.45pm
Paddy Power Park

Farnborough Town vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Farnborough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Farnborough 0 - 0 Dag & Red
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Dominic Poleon

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Slough 0 - 0 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Lyle Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Farnborough Town has a probability of 33.53% and a draw has a probability of 26.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win is 1-0 (8.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.47%).

Result

Farnborough Town 33.53% (+5.18)
Draw 26.11% (-1.04)
Chelmsford City 40.36% (-4.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.3% (+0.51)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.41% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 26.59% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 49.26% (-0.95)
Under 2.5 50.74% (+0.95)
Over 3.5 27.44% (-0.68)
Under 3.5 72.56% (+0.69)
Over 4.5 15.11% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 84.89% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Farnborough Town 26.37% (+2.93)
Draw 40.02% (-1.89)
Chelmsford City 33.6% (-1.05)

Team To Score First

Farnborough Town 43.69% (+5.73)
No Goal 7.46% (-0.09)
Chelmsford City 48.85% (-5.64)

Corners

Over 8 61.72% (-1.19)
Equal 8 11.26% (+0.27)
Under 8 27.02% (+0.92)
Over 9 49.87% (-1.38)
Equal 9 11.85% (+0.18)
Under 9 38.28% (+1.19)
Over 10.5 38.48% (-1.42)
Under 10.5 61.52% (+1.42)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 1.5 33.41% (+3.22)
Under 1.5 66.59% (-3.22)
Over 2.5 12.83% (+2.06)
Under 2.5 87.17% (-2.05)
Over 3.5 3.88% (+0.92)
Under 3.5 96.12% (-0.93)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 72.09% (-3.52)
Under 0.5 27.91% (+3.52)
Over 1.5 38.45% (-4.79)
Under 1.5 61.55% (+4.79)
Over 2.5 16.03% (-3.04)
Under 2.5 83.97% (+3.04)
Over 3.5 5.51% (-1.38)
Under 3.5 94.49% (+1.38)

Score analysis

Farnborough Town 33.54%
Draw 26.1%
Chelmsford City 40.37%
Farnborough Town
1-0 @ 8.8% (+0.72)
2-1 @ 7.49% (+0.59)
2-0 @ 5.49% (+1.13)
3-1 @ 3.34% (+0.70)
3-0 @ 2.34% (+0.50)
3-2 @ 2.25% (+0.34)
Other @ 3.83% (+1.25)
Total : 33.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% (+0.37)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.59)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.40)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.32)
Total : 26.1%
Chelmsford City
0-1 @ 10.34% (-0.38)
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.63)
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.88)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.59)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.71)
2-3 @ 2.5% (+0.05)
Other @ 5.46% (-1.06)
Total : 40.37%

Head to Head

National League South
Sep 1, 2025 7.45pm
2
5
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 3
FT Paddy Power Park
  • Joe Haigh 7' goal
  • Oli Pendlebury 41' yellowcard
  • Jonny Stuttle 45'+2' goal
  • Sonny Hartman 52' yellowcard
  • Jonny Stuttle 79' goal
  • goal Kane Crichlow 13'
  • goal Kane Crichlow 41'
  • goal Jazzi Barnum-Bobb 45'
  • goal Kane Crichlow 62'
National League South Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Osman Foyo 13' goal
  • Kalvin Kalala 13' yellowcard
  • Cameron James 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Archie Tamplin 70' yellowcard
  • goal Millar Matthews-Lewis 12'
  • goal Oli Pendlebury 17'
  • yellowcard Joe Haigh 18'
  • yellowcard Oliver Robinson 56'
  • yellowcard Richard Chin 66'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bradshaw 90'+2'
National League South Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Paddy Power Park
  • Hady Ghandour 25' goal
  • goal Charlie Ruff 45'
National League South Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Adam Mills 45' goal
National League South Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Hawthorns
  • Dave Winfield 42' goal
  • Michael Folivi 54' goal
  • Michael Folivi 89' goal
  • goal Mason Bloomfield 9'
  • goal Mason Bloomfield 52'