Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 64.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.33% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 14.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%) , while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.