National League South Gameweek 40
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Lyle Taylor 82' goal
  • goal George Nikaj 18'
  • goal George Nikaj 47'

Chelmsford City vs Dover Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 16, 2026 7.45pm
Chelmsford City 2 - 0 Slough
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lyle Taylor

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Dover Athletic 1 - 2 Chippenham
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
George Nikaj

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 64.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.33% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 14.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%) , while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result

Chelmsford City 64.2% (+0.27)
Draw 21.33% (-0.11)
Dover Athletic 14.47% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.59%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.78% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 24.22% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 52.03% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 47.97% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 30.14% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 69.81% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 18.59% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 81.41% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Chelmsford City 41.96% (+0.18)
Draw 40.44% (-0.11)
Dover Athletic 17.6% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Chelmsford City 64.97% (+0.13)
No Goal 6.38% (-0.05)
Dover Athletic 28.65% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 64.32% (+0.49)
Equal 8 10.96% (-0.02)
Under 8 24.72% (-0.48)
Over 9 52.54% (+0.47)
Equal 9 11.79% (+0.03)
Under 9 35.67% (-0.50)
Over 10.5 40.96% (+0.40)
Under 10.5 59.04% (-0.40)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 1.5 57.15% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 42.85% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 30.14% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 69.86% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 12.66% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 87.34% (-0.15)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 49.47% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 50.53% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 17.37% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 82.63% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 4.16% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 95.84% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.03% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.97% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 64.2%
Draw 21.35%
Dover Athletic 14.46%
Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 12.82% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 11.5% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.41% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.19% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.42% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.21% (+0.03)
Other @ 12.65% (+0.15)
Total : 64.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.35%
Dover Athletic
0-1 @ 5.03% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 3.94% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.02% (-0.03)
Total : 14.46%

Head to Head

National League South
Oct 28, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • Henry Young 16' goal
National League South Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2023 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Mohamed Bettamer 38' goal
  • Cameron James 76' goal
  • Charlie Naylor 83' goal
  • goal Joshua Anifowose 6'
  • goal Zidane Sutherland 64'
  • goal James Dunne 80'
National League South Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
National League South Gameweek 18
Nov 7, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Hawthorns