National League South Gameweek 38
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • George Wilkinson 22' goal
  • George Wilkinson 54' goal

Dover Athletic vs Tonbridge Angels - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Hampton 2 - 1 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
George Nikaj

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Tonbridge Angels 1 - 0 Worthing
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Tom Leahy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Dover Athletic 40.7% (-0.02)
Draw 26.08%
Tonbridge Angels 33.22% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.64%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.19% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.81% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.87% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 46.13% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 30.28% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 69.72% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.06%
Under 4.5 82.94%

First Half Winner

Dover Athletic 30.82% (-0.01)
Draw 41.77%
Tonbridge Angels 27.41% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Dover Athletic 49.98% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.26%
Tonbridge Angels 43.76% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.48% (-0.13)
Equal 8 10.49%
Under 8 26.04% (+0.15)
Over 9 52.31% (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.17% (-0.02)
Under 9 36.52% (+0.13)
Over 10.5 41.37% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 58.63% (+0.08)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 41.92%
Under 1.5 58.08%
Over 2.5 18.05% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 81.95% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.48%
Under 3.5 93.52%

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 68.9% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 31.1% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 35.83% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.17% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.98% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.02% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.44%
Under 3.5 95.56%

Score analysis

Dover Athletic 40.7%
Draw 26.08%
Tonbridge Angels 33.23%
Dover Athletic
2-1 @ 9.16% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.86% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.27% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.52%
3-2 @ 2.64%
Other @ 6.2%
Total : 40.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.26%
2-2 @ 6.02% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 26.08%
Tonbridge Angels
1-2 @ 8.32% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.7% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.87%
1-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.6% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 33.23%

Head to Head

National League South
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 30
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • Jacob Mensah 45' goal
  • goal Jordan Higgs 16'
  • goal Francis Mampolo 52'
National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Lewis Gard 26' goal
National League South Gameweek 24
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Joe Turner 7' goal
  • Jordan Greenidge 16' goal
  • Jordan Greenidge 50' goal
  • Jack Wood 90' goal
National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • Jordan Higgs 7' goal
  • goal Tushaun Tyreece-Walters 19'
  • goal Joe Turner 56'