Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polonia Warszawa win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Zawisza Bydgoszcz had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polonia Warszawa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Zawisza Bydgoszcz win was 1-2 (7.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.