Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (9.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.