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Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 18, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Braga

Estoril
0 - 0
Braga


Gamboa (90')
FT

Preview: Estoril Praia vs. Braga - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fresh off the back of crashing out of the Europa League, Braga return to the Primeira Liga where they visit the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota to face Estoril Praia on Monday.

The Canarinhos will head into the game seeking to get one over the visitors, having failed to taste victory in any of the last seven meetings between the sides since 2015.


Match preview

Estoril Praia's Francisco Geraldes in action on February 20, 2022© Reuters

Estoril Praia were left empty-handed yet again in the Primeira Liga when they fell to a 2-0 defeat at the hands of Santa Clara at the Estadio de Sao Miguel last Sunday.

Brazilian forward Ricardinho broke the deadlock on the stroke of half time before FC Tokyo loanee Kyosuke Tagawa made sure of the result with a 53rd-minute strike.

Bruno Pinheiro's men head into Monday's game on a run of three consecutive defeats, scoring twice and conceding six goals in that time, while they have managed just one win from their last seven outings.

This slump in form has seen Estoril Praia drop to 10th place in the Primeira Liga standings as they have won eight, drawn 10 and lost 11 of their 29 games to collect 34 points so far this season.

While they could rise to seventh place with all three points on Monday, next up is an opposing side who they have failed to beat in seven straight attempts, claiming one draw and losing six games since a 1-0 victory back in 2015.

Braga's Andre Horta celebrates scoring their first goal on April 7, 2022© Reuters

Elsewhere, Braga were sent packing from the Europa League last Thursday when they were beaten 3-1 by a spirited Rangers side at the Ibrox Stadium in the second leg of their quarter-final clash.

Having lost 1-0 in last week's reverse leg, James Tavernier struck twice in the first half to hand the hosts an aggregate lead, and after David Carmo scored in the 83rd minute to force extra time, Kemar Roofe netted a 101st-minute winner to send the Scottish side through to the semi-finals.

Braga now turn their attention to the Primeira Liga, where they are currently on a three-game winning streak, seeing off Vizela 1-0 most recently on April 10 courtesy of Iuri Medeiros's 39th-minute strike.

Carlos Carvalhal's men are now unbeaten in all but one of their last seven away games in the league — picking up five wins and one draw — with February's 2-1 defeat at Vitoria de Guimaraes being the only exception.

With 55 points from 29 games, Os Arcebispos are currently fourth in the league standings, eight points above Gil Vicente in the final Conference League qualification spot.

Estoril Praia Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L

Braga Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Braga form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L


Team News

Braga coach Carlos Carvalhal reacts on April 14, 2022© Reuters

Estoril Praia will take to the pitch without the services of Brazilian defender Lucas Africo, who has been out of action since last November through a knee problem.

He is joined on the Canarinhos' injury table by Ruben Providence as the 20-year-old continues his long road to full fitness after suffering a severe injury last April.

Meanwhile, Braga will be without Portuguese forward Vitor Tormena after the 22-year-old received his marching orders in the game against Vizela last Sunday.

While Medeiros has a pending European suspension following his red against Rangers on Thursday, he is eligible to feature domestically and we expect the 27-year-old, who has registered seven goals and six assists this season, to spearhead the attack.

On the injury front, Carvalhal will be unable to call upon the services of the Portuguese duo of Roger Fernandes and Nuno Sequeira, who are recuperating from muscle and knee problems respectively.

Estoril Praia possible starting lineup:
Figueira; Soria, Ferraresi, Silva, Joaozinho; Gamboa, Geraldes; Gomes, Franco, Mboula; Ruiz

Braga possible starting lineup:
Matheus; Tormena, Carmo, Oliveira; Moura, F Silva, Al Musrati, Couto; R Horta, Medeiros, Ruiz


SM words green background

We say: Estoril Praia 0-2 Braga

Following their Europa League exit, Braga will seek to restore some pride on Monday as they face a floundering Estoril Praia side. Looking at the gulf in class and quality between the two teama, we are tipping the visitors to come away victorious on Monday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Estoril vs Braga

Estoril Praia
9.8%
Draw
7.3%
Braga
82.9%
41
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25212275255065
2Benfica26204260213964
3Porto26184450183258
4Braga26165555342153
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes26155641271450
6MoreirenseMoreirense2612682827142
7AroucaArouca26104124337634
8FamalicaoFamalicao2561092430-628
9Gil Vicente2677123539-428
10BoavistaBoavista2677123351-1828
11Casa Pia2676132339-1627
12SC FarenseFarense2676133438-427
13Estrela Amadora2668122639-1326
14Estoril PraiaEstoril2674154249-725
15Rio AveRio Ave2641392635-925
16PortimonensePortimonense2665152453-2923
17Vizela2649132652-2621
18ChavesChaves2647152556-3119


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