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Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
Nacional

Moreirense
2 - 2
Nacional

Ferraresi (62'), Luis (81')
Simao (16'), Franco (44'), Luis (78'), Soares (90+1'), Camara (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Soares (43' og.), Rochez (74')
Mendes (18'), Azouni (53'), Bessa (66'), Danilovic (71'), Pedrao (90+1')

Preview: Moreirense vs. Nacional - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Nacional make the trip to Moreirense on Thursday still sitting five points away from moving outside of the Primeira Liga relegation zone.

Despite four matches without success, the home side will feel that victory against the bottom-placed team will keep them in the hunt for sixth position.


Match preview

For a team who have scored less than a goal per game throughout the season, Moreirense are arguably punching above their weight in eighth spot.

Nevertheless, with three of their remaining four opponents being below them in the standings, Vasco Seabra knows that there is an opportunity to finish higher than their current position.

A 2-0 defeat at rivals Vitoria de Guimaraes is a significant blow with the result extending their recent run to just one win in eight fixtures.

However, with a point against Porto still fresh in the memory, the Green and Whites should have the belief to overcome their struggling opponents.

Top goalscorers Rafael Martins has contributed just two strikes and one assist in his last nine appearances.

As far as Nacional are concerned, they are almost at the point where only victories will do if they want to survive in the Primeira Liga.

With seven points the gap to 15th position, earning a place in the relegation playoff is realistically their best-case scenario with potential rivals Famalicao to come in their penultimate game.

Manuel Machado's side must first negotiate the contest on Thursday, a fixture which is taking place before the visit of Benfica five days later.

While the White and Black were only seven minutes away from earning something against leaders Sporting Lisbon at the weekend, conceding two late goals has upped the stakes ahead of the trip to Estadio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.

Moreirense Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L

Nacional Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Seabra will consider making changes to his Moreirense starting lineup after their poor performance in the last game.

Walterson, Abdu Conte and Filipe Soares could all be handed opportunities after being called upon during the second half at Guimaraes.

Nacional will have to make do without Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan after the midfielder was dismissed for two yellow cards against Sporting.

Nuno Borges could return to the side as his replacement, while Eber Bessa is an alternative to Ruben Micael.

Bryan Rochez may also get the nod ahead of Joao Camacho if Machado sticks with a 3-4-1-2 formation.

Moreirense possible starting lineup:
Pasinato; Ferraresi, Rosic, Ba; D'Alberto, Pacheco, Simao, Figueiredo; Walterson, Martins, Yan

Nacional possible starting lineup:
Filipe; Pedrao, Cesar, Correia; Freitas, Borges, Azouni, Witi; Micael; Rochez, Riascos


SM words green background

We say: Moreirense 1-0 Nacional

Despite their setback at Sporting last time out, Nacional will still possess the confidence which came from their previous victory.

Nevertheless, we still expect the home side to prevail in this encounter, potentially by a solitary goal.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Moreirense vs Nacional

Moreirense
79.2%
Draw
18.8%
Nacional
2.1%
48
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Porto coach Sergio Conceicao pictured on April 7, 2021
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca311361253421145
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
11Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
12SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


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