Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Moreirense
May 11, 2025 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Estoril
  • Bernardo Martins 21' goal
  • Bernardo Martins 33' yellowcard
  • Michel Augusto Modesto Rafael dos Santos 43' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 55' goal
  • Dinis Pinto 82' yellowcard
  • Alan 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Alvaro 45'+1'
  • goal Felix Bacher 76'
  • goal Alejandro Marques 80'
  • yellowcard Pedro Maria Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho 84'
  • yellowcard Felix Bacher 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Joao Carvalho 90'+4'

Moreirense vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2025 8.15pm
Porto 3 - 1 Moreirense
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Alan

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2025 8.30pm
Estoril 1 - 2 Benfica
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Moreirense 42.07% ▼ (-0.45)
Draw 26.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Estoril Praia 31.83% ▲ (+0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.97% ▲ (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.63% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 51.37% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 26.81% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 73.19% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 4.5 12.52% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 4.5 87.47% ▼ (-0.14)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 75.81% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 24.19% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 41.48% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 58.52% ▲ (+0.18)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 69.87% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 0.5 30.13% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 1.5 33.72% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 1.5 66.28% ▼ (-0.53)

Score analysis

Moreirense 42.07%
Draw 26.08%
Estoril Praia 31.83%
Moreirense
1-0 @ 10.34% ▼ (-0.15)
2-1 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 42.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 26.08%
Estoril Praia
0-1 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.83%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Estoril
Dec 28, 2024 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Moreirense
  • Felix Bacher 16' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Marques 22' goal
  • Wagner Pina 34' yellowcard
  • Helder Costa 45'+3' goal
  • goal Gabrielzinho 2'
  • goal Luis Nlavo 57'
  • yellowcard Cesar Peixoto 77'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Martins 85'
  • yellowcard Godfried Frimpong 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
Moreirense
May 18, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Estoril
  • Vinicius Mingotti 5' goal
  • Goncalo Franco 66' goal
  • goal Joao Carlos 49'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Estoril
Jan 13, 2024 8.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Moreirense
  • Rodrigo Gomes 25' yellowcard
  • Mateus Fernandes 83' yellowcard
  • Joao Carlos 90' goal
  • goal Pedro Aparicio 30'
  • goal Marcelo 33'
  • yellowcard Ruben Ramos 39'
  • yellowcard Alan 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Antonisse 73'
  • goal Alan 74'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Estoril
May 7, 2022 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Moreirense
  • Jordi Mboula 44' yellowcard
  • Andre Franco 64' goal
  • Bernardo Vital 81' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Vital 84' redcard
  • Lucho Vega 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Rui Fonte 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Joaozinho 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sori Mane 53'
  • yellowcard Pedro Amador 74'
  • yellowcard Andre Luis 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Moreirense
Dec 28, 2021 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Estoril
  • Rafael Martins 28' goal
  • Filipe Soares 47' yellowcard
  • Yan 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno 21'
  • yellowcard Patrick 63'
  • yellowcard Arthur 78'
  • yellowcard Chico Geraldes 87'
Primeira Liga
Moreirense
Feb 12, 2018 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Cónegos)
Estoril
  • Toze 10' goal
  • Alfa Semedo 60' yellowcard
  • Hichem Belkaroui 86' yellowcard
  • Pierre Sagna 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ailton 19'
  • yellowcard Charis Kyriakou 54'
  • goal Allano 72'
  • goal Eduardo 81'

Form Data

Porto 3 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 1 - 1 Nacional
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 0 - 2 Rio Ave
Gil Vicente 0 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 2 - 2 Guimaraes
Estoril 1 - 2 Benfica
Casa Pia 1 - 3 Estoril
Estoril 0 - 2 Braga
Famalicao 3 - 0 Estoril
AVS 0 - 3 Estoril
Estoril 1 - 2 Porto