Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Nacional

Moreirense
1 - 1
Nacional

Lincon Farias de Sousa (63')
Martins (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vitor (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Moreirense
Friday, April 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 0-3 Gil Vicente
Saturday, April 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
MoreirenseDrawNacional
43.78% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)27.75% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)28.47% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 46.46% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.04% (0.169 0.17)58.96% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.56% (0.13 0.13)79.44% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (0.052000000000007 0.05)26.75% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.97% (0.07 0.07)62.02% (-0.07 -0.07)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.42% (0.163 0.16)36.57% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.64% (0.163 0.16)73.36% (-0.164 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 43.78%
    Nacional 28.47%
    Draw 27.75%
MoreirenseDrawNacional
1-0 @ 12.9% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.78%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 28.47%

How you voted: Moreirense vs Nacional

Moreirense
63.2%
Draw
26.3%
Nacional
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 14
Nacional
1-0
Moreirense
Gomes (55')

Alan (24'), Marcelo (90'), Miguel Costa Santos (90+2')
> Preview
May 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Moreirense
2-2
Nacional
Ferraresi (62'), Luis (81')
Simao (16'), Franco (44'), Luis (78'), Soares (90+1'), Camara (90+4')
Soares (43' og.), Rochez (74')
Mendes (18'), Azouni (53'), Bessa (66'), Danilovic (71'), Pedrao (90+1')
> Preview
Jan 17, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Nacional
0-1
Moreirense

Riascos (42'), Azouni (53'), Micael (76'), Pedrao (83')
Vitoria (78')
Conte (19'), Pacheco (30'), Vitoria (63'), Ferraresi (90+2'), Soares (90+6')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 19
Moreirense
2-1
Nacional
Chiquinho (15', 56')
Pacheco (76')
Hamzaoui (87')
Cesar (31'), Hamzaoui (71'), Camacho (84')
Camacho (91')
Aug 19, 2018 4pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
1-2
Moreirense
Witi (50')
Nuno (8'), Tavares (61')
Aberhoune (17'), Aurelio (23'), Ndiaye (45'), Luiz (84'), Mendes (93')