Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Moreirense
Friday, April 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, April 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
35
Last Game: Nacional 0-3 Gil Vicente
Saturday, April 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
27
We said: Moreirense 2-1 Nacional
Having suffered a 1-0 loss against Nacional in December's reverse fixture, ending a 12-game unbeaten run between the two sides in the process, Moreirense will head into the weekend looking to get one over the visitors. While Nacional will be looking to find their feet this weekend, results on the road offer little optimism and we fancy Bacci's side to secure all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Nacional |
43.78% ( -0.05) | 27.75% ( -0.04) | 28.47% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.46% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
