Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Moreirense
Apr 27, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Nacional
  • Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 63' goal
  • Bernardo Martins 79' yellowcard
  • goal Ze Vitor 80'

Moreirense vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Moreirense
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Alan

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2025 3.30pm
Nacional 0 - 3 Gil Vicente
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Daniel Penha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Moreirense 43.78% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 27.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Nacional 28.47% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.46% ▲ (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.04% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 58.96% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 20.56% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 79.44% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 4.5 8.66% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 91.34% ▼ (-0.08)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 73.25% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 26.75% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 37.97% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 62.02% ▼ (-0.08)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 63.42% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 0.5 36.57% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 26.64% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 73.36% ▼ (-0.17)

Score analysis

Moreirense 43.78%
Draw 27.75%
Nacional 28.47%
Moreirense
1-0 @ 12.9% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.75%
Nacional
0-1 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 28.47%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Nacional
Dec 14, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio da Madeira
Moreirense
  • Jose Gomes 55' goal
  • yellowcard Alan 24'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 90'
  • yellowcard Pedro Miguel Costa Santos 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Moreirense
May 6, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Nacional
  • David Simao 16' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Franco 44' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Ferraresi 62' goal
  • Andre Luis 78' yellowcard
  • Andre Luis 81' goal
  • Alex Soares 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Camara 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Mendes 18'
  • goal Filipe Soares 43' (OG)
  • yellowcard Larry Azouni 53'
  • yellowcard Eber Bessa 66'
  • yellowcard Vladan Danilovic 71'
  • goal Bryan Rochez 74'
  • yellowcard Pedrao 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Nacional
Jan 17, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Moreirense
  • Brayan Riascos 42' yellowcard
  • Larry Azouni 53' yellowcard
  • Ruben Micael 76' yellowcard
  • Pedrao 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdu Conte 19'
  • yellowcard Fabio Pacheco 30'
  • yellowcard Steven Vitoria 63'
  • goal Steven Vitoria 78'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Ferraresi 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Alex Soares 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Moreirense
Jan 28, 2019 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Cónegos)
Nacional
  • Chiquinho 15' goal
  • Chiquinho 56' goal
  • Fabio Pacheco 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julio Cesar 31'
  • yellowcard Okacha Hamzaoui 71'
  • yellowcard Joao Camacho 84'
  • goal Okacha Hamzaoui 87'
  • redcard Joao Camacho 91'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Nacional
Aug 19, 2018 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
Moreirense
  • Witi 50' goal
  • goal Pedro Nuno 8'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Aberhoune 17'
  • yellowcard Joao Aurelio 23'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Ndiaye 45'
  • goal Heriberto Tavares 61'
  • yellowcard Jhonatan Luiz 84'
  • yellowcard Ivanildo Mendes 93'
Primeira Liga
Nacional
Apr 17, 2017 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Moreirense
  • Nuno Sequeira 80' yellowcard
  • Filipe Goncalves 88' yellowcard
  • goal David Ramirez 15'
  • yellowcard Georgi Makaridze 90'

Form Data

Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 0 - 2 Rio Ave
Gil Vicente 0 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 2 - 2 Guimaraes
Moreirense 1 - 0 Boavista
Santa Clara 1 - 1 Moreirense
Nacional 0 - 3 Gil Vicente
Boavista 0 - 1 Nacional
Nacional 0 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara 1 - 0 Nacional
Nacional 3 - 1 Casa Pia
Benfica 3 - 0 Nacional