Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 12, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI

Boavista
0 - 1
Nacional

Chounkwi Fogning (57'), Abascal (69'), Bozenik (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Joel (16')
Esteves (23'), Penha (53'), Vitor (70'), Franca (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 0-2 Boavista
Monday, April 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 0-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, April 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Nacional
41.56% ( -0.01)	27.59% ( -0)	30.85% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.02% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.47% (

0.01)

57.52% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.68% (

0.01)

78.31% (

-0.01)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.73% (

27.26% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.3%

62.69% (

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01% (

0.01)

33.98% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33% (

0.01)

70.66% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Boavista 41.56%

Nacional 30.85%

Draw 27.59%

Boavista	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 12.04% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.56%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.27% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.59%	0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 30.85%