Nacional vs Gil Vicente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.