Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 11, 2025 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
0 - 1
Guimaraes

Cruz (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gustavo (77')
Arcanjo (8'), Borevkovic (10'), Mendes (39'), Baifas Felix (46'), Handel (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Moreirense
Sunday, April 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-0 Santa Clara
Saturday, April 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.98%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
16.46% ( -0.63)	22.84% ( -0.34)	60.7% ( 0.97)

Both teams to score 45.88% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.79% (

0.32)

52.21% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.08% (

0.27)

73.92% (

-0.27)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.16% (

-0.62)

44.84% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.19% (

-0.5)

80.81% (

0.51)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.19% (

0.45)

16.81% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.22% (

0.8)

46.78% (

-0.8)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 16.46%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 60.69%

Draw 22.84%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.48% Total : 16.46%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.84%	0-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 11.98% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.12% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 5.71% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 3.18% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.75% Total : 60.69%