Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
34.81% (![]() | 26.79% (![]() | 38.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.39% (![]() | 53.61% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.89% (![]() | 75.11% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.69% (![]() | 29.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.72% (![]() | 65.28% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.83% (![]() | 27.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.43% (![]() | 62.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 9.77% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.81% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.81% | 1-1 @ 12.73% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.96% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 8.3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.08% Total : 38.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
R | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
R | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |