Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Porto

Estoril
1 - 2
Porto

Begraoui (15' pen.)
Boma (7'), Pina (32'), Xeka (45+4'), Amaral (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Omorodion (45' pen.), Mora Carvalho (64')
Perez (75'), Moura (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Estoril
Sunday, March 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 AVS
Saturday, March 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
20.74% (-0.269 -0.27)23.61% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)55.64% (0.333 0.33)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.66% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)49.33% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.61% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)71.38% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.313 -0.31)38.2% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.03% (-0.305 -0.31)74.96% (0.306 0.31)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.43% (0.096000000000004 0.1)17.57% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.87% (0.165 0.16)48.13% (-0.165 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 20.74%
    Porto 55.63%
    Draw 23.61%
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 6.46% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 5.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.73% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 20.74%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.61%
0-1 @ 11.67% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 10.14% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.77% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.88% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 5.66% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.56% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.46% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 55.63%

How you voted: Estoril vs Porto

Estoril Praia
0.0%
Draw
4.5%
Porto
95.5%
22
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
4-0
Estoril
Loader (19'), Pepe (28'), Galeno (77', 87')

Alvaro (36'), Maria Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho (67')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Estoril
1-0
Porto
Cassiano (69')
Zanocelo (45+5'), Tavares (46'), Marques (81'), Carne (81'), Pina (89')
Vital (90+3')

Mario (37'), Pepe (65'), Gonzalez (77'), Conceicao (78'), Evanilson (88'), Pepe (90+1'), Otavio (90+1')
Costa (65'), Conceicao (89')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2024 8.45pm
Round of 16
Estoril
0-4
Porto

Marques (45+1'), Marques (45+2'), Alvaro (49')
Evanilson (24', 31', 56'), Galeno (76')
Gonzalez (53'), Wendell (79')
> Preview
Dec 6, 2023 6pm
Group Stage
Estoril
3-1
Porto
Cassiano (22'), Guitane (90+1'), Carlos (90+5' pen.)
Feltes (72')
Pepe (34')
Grujic (53'), Taremi (55'), Eustaquio (71'), Cardoso (83'), Carmo (90+4')
> Preview
Nov 3, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Estoril

Eustaquio (29'), Conceicao (31'), Gonzalez (70'), Carmo (74'), Martinez (78')
Holsgrove (75')
Feltes (10'), Fernandes (35'), Marques (39'), Vital (45+1'), Alvaro (55'), Araujo (56'), Carne (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!