Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Estoril
Mar 30, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Porto
  • Kevin Boma 7' yellowcard
  • Yanis Begraoui 15' goal
  • Wagner Pina 32' yellowcard
  • Xeka 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Pedro Amaral 74' yellowcard
  • goal Samu Omorodion 45'
  • goal Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 64'
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 75'
  • yellowcard Francisco Moura 90'+5'

Estoril Praia vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 3.30pm
Arouca 1 - 1 Estoril
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 6.00pm
Porto 2 - 0 AVS
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Samu Omorodion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result

Estoril Praia 20.74% ▼ (-0.27)
Draw 23.61% ▼ (-0.07)
Porto 55.64% ▲ (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.94% ▼ (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.66% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 49.33% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 28.61% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 71.38% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 13.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 86.27% ▲ (+0.05)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 61.8% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 0.5 38.2% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 1.5 25.03% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 74.96% ▲ (+0.31)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 82.43% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 17.57% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 51.87% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 48.13% ▼ (-0.17)

Score analysis

Estoril Praia 20.74%
Draw 23.61%
Porto 55.63%
Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 20.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.61%
Porto
0-1 @ 11.67% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.77% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 55.63%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Porto
Nov 3, 2024 8.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
Estoril
  • Danny Loader 19' goal
  • Pepe 28' goal
  • Galeno 77' goal
  • Galeno 87' goal
  • yellowcard Pedro Alvaro 36'
  • yellowcard Pedro Maria Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho 67'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Estoril
Mar 30, 2024 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Porto
  • Heriberto Tavares 46' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Zanocelo 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Cassiano 69' goal
  • Joao Marques 81' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Carne 81' yellowcard
  • Wagner Pina 89' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Vital 90'+3' redcard
  • yellowcard Joao Mario 37'
  • redcard Diogo Costa 65'
  • yellowcard Pepe 65'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 77'
  • yellowcard Francisco Conceicao 78'
  • yellowcard Evanilson 88'
  • redcard Francisco Conceicao 89'
  • yellowcard Pepe 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Otavio 90'+1'
Taca de Portugal
Estoril
Jan 9, 2024 8.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Porto
  • Joao Marques 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Joao Marques 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Pedro Alvaro 49' yellowcard
  • goal Evanilson 24'
  • goal Evanilson 31'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 53'
  • goal Evanilson 56'
  • goal Galeno 76'
  • yellowcard Wendell 79'
Taca da Liga
Estoril
Dec 6, 2023 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Porto
  • Cassiano 22' goal
  • Volnei Feltes 72' yellowcard
  • Rafik Guitane 90'+1' goal
  • Joao Carlos 90'+5' goal
  • goal Pepe 34'
  • yellowcard Marko Grujic 53'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Taremi 55'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 71'
  • yellowcard Fabio Cardoso 83'
  • yellowcard David Carmo 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Porto
Nov 3, 2023 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
Estoril
  • Stephen Eustaquio 29' yellowcard
  • Francisco Conceicao 31' yellowcard
  • Nico Gonzalez 70' yellowcard
  • David Carmo 74' yellowcard
  • Toni Martinez 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Volnei Feltes 10'
  • yellowcard Mateus Fernandes 35'
  • yellowcard Joao Marques 39'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Vital 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Pedro Alvaro 55'
  • yellowcard Tiago Araujo 56'
  • goal Jordan Holsgrove 75'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Carne 84'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Porto
Mar 10, 2023 8.15pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estádio Do Dragão
Estoril
  • Marko Grujic 9' goal
  • Andre Franco 31' goal
  • Mehdi Taremi 73' goal
  • goal Tiago Gouveia 27'
  • goal Chico Geraldes 67'

Form Data

Arouca 1 - 1 Estoril
Estoril 2 - 2 Farense
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Estoril
Estoril 2 - 1 Rio Ave
Nacional 2 - 2 Estoril
Estoril 2 - 1 Boavista
Porto 2 - 0 AVS
Braga 1 - 0 Porto
Arouca 0 - 2 Porto
Porto 1 - 1 Guimaraes
Roma 3 - 2 Porto
Farense 0 - 1 Porto