/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
-
Pablo Roberto
26'
-
Jose Fonte
52'
-
Rodrigo Mora Carvalho
5'
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Ze Pedro
67'
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Martim Fernandes
78'
Casa Pia vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.13%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result
Casa Pia
14.06%
▲
(+0.14)
Draw
20.44%
▲
(+0.11)
Porto
65.5%
▼
(-0.25)
Both Teams to Score:
47.65%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.14%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 2.5
46.86%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 3.5
30.89%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 3.5
69.11%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 4.5
15.28%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
84.71%
▲
(+0.11)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
55.08%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
44.92%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
19.13%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
80.87%
▼
(-0.08)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
86.51%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
13.49%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
59.49%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
40.51%
▲
(+0.25)
Score analysis
Casa Pia
14.06%
Draw
20.44%
Porto
65.49%
Casa Pia
1-0
@
4.85%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 14.06%
2-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 14.06%
Draw
1-1
@
9.71%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.44%
0-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.44%
Porto
0-2
@
12.15%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 12.13% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.03)
1-5 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 65.49%
0-1 @ 12.13% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.03)
1-5 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 65.49%