/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
-
Nehuen Perez
16'
-
Martin Anselmi
55'
-
Samu Omorodion
81'
-
Goncalo Borges
82'
-
Martim Fernandes
90'+3'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
1'
-
Alvaro Fernandez
23'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
42'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
69'
-
Nicolas Otamendi
90'+4'
Porto vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F07%2Fmartin-anselmi_1.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result
Porto
41.09%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
24.34%
▼
(-0.07)
Benfica
34.57%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
59.79%
▲
(+0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.12%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 2.5
42.87%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 3.5
34.72%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 3.5
65.28%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 4.5
18.06%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 4.5
81.94%
▼
(-0.22)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
79.02%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
20.98%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
46.25%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
53.74%
▼
(-0.21)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
75.67%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
24.32%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
41.29%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
58.71%
▼
(-0.24)
Score analysis
Porto
41.09%
Draw
24.34%
Benfica
34.57%
Porto
2-1
@
8.8%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.09%
1-0 @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.09%
Draw
1-1
@
11.26%
▼
(-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.34%
2-2 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.34%
Benfica
1-2
@
7.96%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.57%
0-1 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.57%
Head to Head
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
11
-
Alvaro Fernandez
19'
-
Alvaro Fernandez
30'
-
Angel di Maria
56'
-
Nehuen Perez
61'
-
Angel di Maria
82'
-
Orkun Kokcu
84'
-
Alan Varela
19'
-
Samu Omorodion
44'
-
Fabio Vieira
51'
-
Martim Fernandes
52'
-
Joao Mario
79'
-
Nico Gonzalez
90'+1'
-
Goncalo Borges
90'+3'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
7
-
Joao Neves
59'
-
Angel di Maria
68'
-
Angel di Maria
69'
-
David Jurasek
90'+5'
-
Nicolas Otamendi
90'+5'
-
Fabio Cardoso
19'
-
David Carmo
34'
-
Mehdi Taremi
35'
-
Wendell
77'
-
Jose Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
82'
-
Sergio Conceicao
45'+45'
-
Francisco Conceicao
90'+5'
-
Mihailo Ristic
15'
-
Joao Mario
16'
-
Orkun Kokcu
27'
-
Alexander Bah
43'
-
Joao Neves
49'
-
Angel di Maria
61'
-
Petar Musa
68'
-
Chiquinho
84'
-
Odisseas Vlachodimos
87'
-
Danny Loader
29'
-
Pepe
33'
-
Pepe
45'+1'
-
Stephen Eustaquio
51'
-
Zaidu Sanusi
55'
-
Pepe
90'
-
Sergio Conceicao
90'+8'