Arouca
Arouca
Benfica
Benfica
Boavista
Boavista
Braga
Braga
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Moreirense
Nacional
Nacional
Porto
Porto
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Benfica

Porto
1 - 4
Benfica

Omorodion (81')
Perez (16'), Anselmi (55'), Borges (82'), Fernandes (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pavlidis (1', 42', 69'), Otamendi (90+4')
Fernandez (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Porto
Sunday, March 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Farense
Wednesday, April 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
PortoDrawBenfica
41.09% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)24.34% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)34.57% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.79% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.12% (0.185 0.18)42.87% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72% (0.18300000000001 0.18)65.28% (-0.188 -0.19)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (0.058000000000007 0.06)20.98% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.25% (0.091999999999999 0.09)53.74% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (0.129 0.13)24.32% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (0.186 0.19)58.71% (-0.192 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Porto 41.09%
    Benfica 34.57%
    Draw 24.34%
PortoDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.09%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.34%
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.57%

How you voted: Porto vs Benfica

Porto
40.0%
Draw
15.6%
Benfica
44.4%
45
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 8.45pm
Gameweek 11
Benfica
4-1
Porto
Fernandez (30'), Di Maria (56', 82' pen.), Perez (61' og.)
Fernandez (19'), Kokcu (84')
Omorodion (44')
Varela (19'), Vieira (51'), Fernandes (52'), Mario (79'), Borges (90+3'), Gonzalez (90+1')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 24
Porto
5-0
Benfica
Galeno (20', 44'), Wendell (55'), Pepe (75'), Loader (90')
Conceicao (12'), Gonzalez (79')

Morato (32'), Otamendi (52')
Otamendi (61')
> Match Report
Sep 29, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 7
Benfica
1-0
Porto
Di Maria (68')
Neves (59'), di Maria (69'), Jurasek (90+5'), Otamendi (90+5')

Carmo (34'), Taremi (35'), Conceicao (45+45'), Wendell (77'), Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas (82'), Conceicao (90+5')
Cardoso (19')
> Preview
Aug 9, 2023 8.45pm
Final
Benfica
2-0
Porto
Di Maria (61'), Musa (68')
Ristic (15'), Mario (16'), Kokcu (27'), Bah (43'), Neves (49'), Chiquinho (84'), Vlachodimos (87')

Loader (29'), Pepe (33'), Pepe (45+1'), Eustaquio (51'), Sanusi (55')
Pepe (90'), Conceicao (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Benfica
1-2
Porto
Costa (10' og.)
Uribe (45'), Taremi (54')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34257288276182
2Benfica34255484285680
3Porto34225765303571
4Braga34199655302566
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara34176113632457
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes341412847371054
7FamalicaoFamalicao341211114439547
8Estoril PraiaEstoril341210124853-546
9Casa Pia34129133944-545
10MoreirenseMoreirense341010144250-840
11AroucaArouca34911143549-1438
12Rio AveRio Ave34911143955-1638
13Gil Vicente34810163447-1334
14Nacional3497183250-1834
15Estrela Amadora3478192450-2629
RSC FarenseFarense3469192546-2127
17AVS34512172560-3527
RBoavistaBoavista3466222459-3524
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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