Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Apr 2, 2025 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
3 - 2
Farense

Akturkoglu (7', 54'), Pavlidis (23')
Miguel Silva do Nascimento (74'), Trubin (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ribeiro (43'), Lopes (63')
Soares (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-3 Benfica
Friday, March 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 0-1 Braga
Saturday, March 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 82.18%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 5.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.47%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.6%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	SC Farense
82.18% ( -0.5)	11.85% ( 0.3)	5.97% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 45.85% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.41% (

-0.7)

31.59% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.92% (

-0.83)

53.08% (

0.83)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.27% (

-0.23)

5.72% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.91% (

-0.65)

22.09% (

0.65)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.63% (

0.07)

51.37% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.41% (

0.05)

85.58% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Benfica 82.18%

SC Farense 5.97%

Draw 11.85%

Benfica	Draw	SC Farense
2-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) 7-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.08% Total : 82.18%	1-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.64% Total : 11.85%	0-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.14% Total : 5.97%