Primeira Liga
Gameweek
27
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-
Kerem Akturkoglu
7'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
23'
-
Kerem Akturkoglu
54'
-
Bruno Miguel Silva do Nascimento
74'
-
Anatoliy Trubin
90'+2'
-
Tomas Ribeiro
43'
-
Rony Lopes
63'
-
Filipe Soares
89'
Benfica vs SC Farense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 82.18%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 5.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.47%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.6%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Benfica
82.18%
▼
(-0.50)
Draw
11.85%
▲
(+0.31)
SC Farense
5.97%
▲
(+0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
45.85%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.41%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 2.5
31.59%
▲
(+0.71)
Over 3.5
46.92%
▼
(-0.84)
Under 3.5
53.08%
▲
(+0.83)
Over 4.5
27.96%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 4.5
72.03%
▲
(+0.74)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
94.27%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 0.5
5.72%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 1.5
77.91%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 1.5
22.09%
▲
(+0.65)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5
48.63%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
51.37%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
14.41%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
85.58%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Benfica
82.18%
Draw
11.85%
SC Farense
5.97%
Benfica
2-0
@
12.02%
▲
(+0.13)
3-0 @ 11.47% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.21)
4-0 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.14)
2-1 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.09)
5-0 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.15)
5-1 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.03)
6-1 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.07)
5-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4%
Total : 82.18%
3-0 @ 11.47% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.21)
4-0 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.14)
2-1 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.09)
5-0 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.15)
5-1 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.03)
6-1 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.07)
5-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4%
Total : 82.18%
Draw
1-1
@
5.6%
▲
(+0.15)
0-0 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 11.85%
0-0 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 11.85%
SC Farense
0-1
@
1.96%
▲
(+0.08)
1-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 5.97%
1-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 5.97%