/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Ffarlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
-
Lucas Africo
20'
-
Neto
22'
-
Claudio Falcao
61'
-
Derick Poloni
72'
-
78'
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Rafael Brito
87'
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Andre Geraldes
90'+8'
SC Farense vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F03%2Ftoze-marreco.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
SC Farense
33.25%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
26.72%
▲
(+0.01)
Casa Pia
40.03%
▲
(+0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
51.41%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.43%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
53.56%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
24.92%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
75.07%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
11.31%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
88.69%
▲
(+0.03)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5
69.71%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
30.29%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
33.53%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 1.5
66.46%
▲
(+0.16)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
73.75%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
26.25%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
38.64%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
61.36%
▼
(-0.09)
Score analysis
SC Farense
33.25%
Draw
26.72%
Casa Pia
40.02%
SC Farense
1-0
@
9.5%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.25%
2-1 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.25%
Draw
1-1
@
12.7%
0-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.72%
0-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.72%
Casa Pia
0-1
@
10.63%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.02%
1-2 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.02%