Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 7, 2025 at 6.45pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
0 - 0
Casa Pia

Africo (20'), Neto (22'), Falcao (61'), Poloni (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Brito (87'), Geraldes (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Farense
Wednesday, April 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Casa Pia
33.25% ( -0.16)	26.72% ( 0)	40.03% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 51.41% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.43% (

-0.05)

53.56% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.92% (

-0.04)

75.07% (

0.04)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.71% (

-0.13)

30.29% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.53% (

-0.16)

66.46% (

0.15)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.75% (

0.06)

26.25% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.64% (

0.09)

61.36% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 33.25%

Casa Pia 40.02%

Draw 26.72%

SC Farense	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.25%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.02%