Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Estoril
Apr 19, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Braga
  • Andre Lacximicant 49' yellowcard
  • goal Ismael Gharbi 5'
  • goal Ismael Gharbi 21'

Estoril Praia vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 3.30pm
Famalicao 3 - 0 Estoril
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2025 6.00pm
Braga 4 - 1 AVS
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result

Estoril Praia 26.67% ▼ (-0.36)
Draw 25.66% ▼ (-0.06)
Braga 47.67% ▲ (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.3% ▼ (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 52.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 26.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 12.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.9% ▲ (+0.02)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 65.66% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 0.5 34.34% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 1.5 28.95% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 1.5 71.05% ▲ (+0.32)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 78.13% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 21.87% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 44.89% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 55.11% ▼ (-0.27)

Score analysis

Estoril Praia 26.67%
Draw 25.66%
Braga 47.67%
Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.66%
Braga
0-1 @ 11.41% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 47.67%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Braga
Dec 6, 2024 8.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
Estoril
  • Bruma 16' goal
  • Gabri Martinez 52' yellowcard
  • Bruma 56' goal
  • Bright Arrey-Mbi 64' yellowcard
  • Roberto Fernandez 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Felix Bacher 54'
  • goal Alejandro Marques 68'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Costa 72'
  • goal Goncalo Costa 82'
  • yellowcard Andre Lacximicant 85'
  • yellowcard Joel Robles 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Joao Carvalho 90'+8'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Estoril
Apr 13, 2024 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Braga
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 64'
  • yellowcard Vitor Carvalho 86'
Taca da Liga
Braga
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa
Estoril
  • Jose Fonte 5' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Horta 20' goal
  • Alvaro Djalo 22' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Horta 64' yellowcard
  • goal Cassiano 6'
  • yellowcard Tiago Araujo 37'
  • yellowcard Mateus Fernandes 43'
  • yellowcard Wagner Pina 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Rafik Guitane 62'
  • yellowcard Dani Figueira 83'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Marques 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 12
Braga
Dec 3, 2023 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
Estoril
  • Jose Fonte 26' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Horta 31' goal
  • Simon Banza 51' goal
  • Joao Moutinho 76' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Carne 90' goal
  • goal Rafik Guitane 24'
  • yellowcard Wagner Pina 42'
  • yellowcard Volnei Feltes 67'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Braga
Apr 8, 2023 8.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
Estoril
  • Abel Ruiz 17' goal
  • Pizzi 70' goal
  • Iuri Medeiros 82' goal
  • Josafat Mendes 90'+4' goal
  • goal Carlos Eduardo 48'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Estoril
Oct 22, 2022 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Braga
  • goal Ali Elmusrati 10'
  • goal Vitor Oliveira 31'

Form Data

Famalicao 3 - 0 Estoril
AVS 0 - 3 Estoril
Estoril 1 - 2 Porto
Arouca 1 - 1 Estoril
Estoril 2 - 2 Farense
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Estoril
Braga 4 - 1 AVS
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 1 Braga
Braga 2 - 1 Arouca
Farense 0 - 1 Braga
Braga 1 - 0 Porto
Rio Ave 2 - 1 Braga