Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 19, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
0 - 2
Braga

Lacximicant (49')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gharbi (5', 21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 3-0 Estoril
Saturday, April 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 4-1 AVS
Sunday, April 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Braga
26.67% ( -0.35)	25.66% ( -0.05)	47.67% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 51.3% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.88% (

-0.02)

52.12% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.16% (

-0.02)

73.84% (

0.01)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66% (

-0.29)

34.34% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.95% (

-0.31)

71.05% (

0.31)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.13% (

0.17)

21.87% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.89% (

0.26)

55.11% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 26.67%

Braga 47.67%

Draw 25.66%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.67%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.67%