Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2025 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Ricardo Horta 5' goal
  • Ricardo Horta 25' yellowcard
  • Uros Racic 26' goal
  • Paulo Oliveira 34' yellowcard
  • Uros Racic 37' goal
  • Amine El Ouazzani 90'+3' goal
  • goal Rafael Vela Rodrigues 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Assuncao 68'
  • yellowcard Jaume Grau 72'

Braga vs AVS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Apr 7, 2025 8.45pm
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 1 Braga
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

AVS

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2025 8.15pm
AVS 0 - 3 Estoril
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
John Mercado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 77.46%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for AVS had a probability of 7.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.1%) and 1-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result

Braga 77.46% (-0.31)
Draw 14.82% (+0.19)
AVS 7.72% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.83% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.56% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 39.43% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 38.22% (-0.45)
Under 3.5 61.77% (+0.45)
Over 4.5 20.73% (-0.36)
Under 4.5 79.26% (+0.35)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 91.63% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 8.37% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 70.88% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 29.12% (+0.42)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5 47.83% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 52.16% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 13.88% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 86.11% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Braga 77.45%
Draw 14.82%
AVS 7.72%
Braga
2-0 @ 13.43% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 11.1% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 10.82% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 8.74% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 6.89% (-0.09)
4-1 @ 4.48% (-0.06)
5-0 @ 3.42% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.23% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.41% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 77.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.05% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.36% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 2.84% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 14.82%
AVS
0-1 @ 2.84% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 2.29% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 7.72%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 12
Dec 1, 2024 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
  • Fernando Fonseca 25' yellowcard
  • Jorge Teixeira 76' redcard
  • Lucas Piazon 85' yellowcard
  • Jaume Grau 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruma 21'
  • goal Gabri Martinez 69'