Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2025 8.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
  • Vasco Lopes 56' yellowcard
  • Rui Vitor da Silva Ferreira 73' yellowcard
  • Ze Luis 73' yellowcard
  • Rafael Vela Rodrigues 88' yellowcard
  • goal Andre Lacximicant 20'
  • goal Andre Lacximicant 33'
  • goal Andre Lacximicant 49'
  • yellowcard Vasco Lopes 73'
  • yellowcard Kevin Boma 90'+4'

AVS vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 3.30pm
Famalicao 4 - 1 AVS
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
John Mercado

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 6.00pm
Estoril 1 - 2 Porto
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for AVS had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result

AVS 30.71% (-0.59)
Draw 25.97% (-0.10)
Estoril Praia 43.32% (+0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.89% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.74% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 51.25% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 26.91% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 73.09% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 12.59% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 87.41% (-0.11)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5 69.16% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 30.84% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 32.88% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 67.12% (+0.37)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 76.48% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 23.52% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 42.44% (+0.60)
Under 1.5 57.56% (-0.60)

Score analysis

AVS 30.71%
Draw 25.97%
Estoril Praia 43.31%
AVS
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 2.85% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 30.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.26% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 25.97%
Estoril Praia
0-1 @ 10.49% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.94% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 7.6% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.31% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.67% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.54% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.56% (+0.06)
0-4 @ 1.33% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 43.31%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Jordan Holsgrove 82' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Zanocelo 87' yellowcard