Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 4, 2025 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves

AVS
0 - 3
Estoril

Lopes (56'), Vitor da Silva Ferreira (73'), Luis (73'), Vela Rodrigues (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Lacximicant (20', 33', 49')
Lopes (73'), Boma (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 4-1 AVS
Sunday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Porto
Sunday, March 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for AVS had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
AVS	Draw	Estoril Praia
30.71% ( -0.58)	25.97% ( -0.09)	43.32% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 52.89% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.74% (

0.18)

51.25% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.91% (

0.16)

73.09% (

-0.16)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.16% (

-0.31)

30.84% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.88% (

-0.37)

67.12% (

0.37)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.48% (

0.41)

23.52% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.44% (

0.59)

57.56% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

AVS 30.71%

Estoril Praia 43.31%

Draw 25.97%

AVS	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.71%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.31%