Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 19, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves

AVS
1 - 1
Casa Pia

Akinsola (2')
Grau (16'), Luis (41'), Pinto Mendonca (61'), Ochoa (82'), Vela Rodrigues (84'), Galletto (87'), Mercado (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Caue (90+5')
Larrazabal (40'), Kluivert (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 4-1 AVS
Sunday, April 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Porto
Saturday, April 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for AVS had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AVS	Draw	Casa Pia
29.94% ( -0.13)	27.84% ( 0.17)	42.22% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 46.93% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.28% (

-0.67)

58.72% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.75% (

-0.52)

79.25% (

0.52)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.7% (

-0.45)

35.3% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.94% (

-0.48)

72.05% (

0.48)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.53% (

-0.34)

27.47% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.04% (

-0.43)

62.96% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

AVS 29.93%

Casa Pia 42.21%

Draw 27.84%

AVS	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.93%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.84%	0-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 42.21%