Primeira Liga
Gameweek
32
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-
Jandro Orellana
63'
-
Vinicius Zanocelo
78'
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Vinicius Zanocelo
83'
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Fredrik Aursnes
7'
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Vangelis Pavlidis
28'
-
Nicolas Otamendi
35'
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Florentino Luis
74'
Estoril Praia vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.73%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 6.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.92%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.89%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Estoril Praia
6.75%
▼
(-0.39)
Draw
12.53%
▼
(-0.91)
Benfica
80.73%
▲
(+1.30)
Both Teams to Score:
47.92%
▲
(+1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.45%
▲
(+3.16)
Under 2.5
31.55%
▼
(-3.16)
Over 3.5
46.96%
▲
(+3.63)
Under 3.5
53.04%
▼
(-3.63)
Over 4.5
28%
▲
(+3.13)
Under 4.5
72%
▼
(-3.13)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5
50.97%
▲
(+1.30)
Under 0.5
49.03%
▼
(-1.30)
Over 1.5
16.02%
▲
(+0.92)
Under 1.5
83.98%
▼
(-0.91)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
94.02%
▲
(+0.91)
Under 0.5
5.98%
▼
(-0.91)
Over 1.5
77.16%
▲
(+2.49)
Under 1.5
22.84%
▼
(-2.48)
Score analysis
Estoril Praia
6.75%
Draw
12.53%
Benfica
80.72%
Estoril Praia
2-1
@
2.1%
▼
(-0.09)
1-0 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.29)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 6.75%
1-0 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.29)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 6.75%
Draw
1-1
@
5.89%
▼
(-0.48)
2-2 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.54)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 12.53%
2-2 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.54)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 12.53%
Benfica
0-2
@
11.63%
▼
(-0.77)
0-3 @ 10.92% ▼ (-0.15)
1-2 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.23)
0-1 @ 8.26% ▼ (-1.02)
1-3 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.19)
0-4 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.29)
1-4 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.40)
0-5 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.38)
1-5 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.37)
2-3 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.17)
0-6 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.27)
2-4 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.21)
1-6 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.24)
2-5 @ 1.1% ▼ (-92.21)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 80.72%
0-3 @ 10.92% ▼ (-0.15)
1-2 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.23)
0-1 @ 8.26% ▼ (-1.02)
1-3 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.19)
0-4 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.29)
1-4 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.40)
0-5 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.38)
1-5 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.37)
2-3 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.17)
0-6 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.27)
2-4 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.21)
1-6 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.24)
2-5 @ 1.1% ▼ (-92.21)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 80.72%