Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 3, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
1 - 2
Benfica

Zanocelo (78')
Orellana (63'), Zanocelo (83')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Aursnes (7'), Otamendi (35')
Pavlidis (28'), Luis (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Estoril
Tuesday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 6-0 AVS
Sunday, April 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.73%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 6.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.92%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.89%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Benfica
6.75% ( -0.39)	12.53% ( -0.9)	80.73% ( 1.29)

Both teams to score 47.92% (

1.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.45% (

3.16)

31.55% (

-3.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.96% (

3.63)

53.04% (

-3.63)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.97% (

1.3)

49.03% (

-1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.02% (

0.91)

83.98% (

-0.91)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.02% (

0.91)

5.98% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.16% (

2.48)

22.84% (

-2.48)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 6.75%

Benfica 80.72%

Draw 12.53%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.56% Total : 6.75%	1-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.53) Other @ 0.75% Total : 12.53%	0-2 @ 11.63% ( -0.77) 0-3 @ 10.92% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( -1.01) 1-3 @ 7.78% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 7.69% ( 0.29) 1-4 @ 5.48% ( 0.4) 0-5 @ 4.33% ( 0.37) 1-5 @ 3.09% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.17) 0-6 @ 2.03% ( 0.27) 2-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.21) 1-6 @ 1.45% ( 0.24) 2-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.94% Total : 80.72%