Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 27, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
6 - 0
AVS

Araujo (8'), Pavlidis (23'), Amdouni (26'), Akturkoglu (40'), Belotti (71'), Otamendi (82')
Fernandez (65')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Fonseca (33'), Pinto Mendonca (42'), Assuncao (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and AVS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Tirsense
Wednesday, April 23 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

AVS

All competitions

Last Game: AVS 1-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, April 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 90.06%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for AVS had a probability of 2.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 4-0 (11.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.48%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (1.03%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	AVS
90.06% ( 0.37)	7.31% ( -0.21)	2.63% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 37.14% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.92% (

-0.05)

26.08% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.69% (

-0.06)

46.31% (

0.06)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.54% (

0.05)

3.46% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.91% (

0.17)

15.08% (

-0.17)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.47% (

-1.06)

61.53% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.59% (

-0.52)

91.41% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Benfica 90.05%

AVS 2.63%

Draw 7.31%

Benfica	Draw	AVS
3-0 @ 13.5% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.23) 5-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) 7-1 @ 1% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.45% Total : 90.05%	1-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.29% Total : 7.31%	0-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.6% Total : 2.63%