Primeira Liga
Gameweek
31
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-
Tomas Araujo
8'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
23'
-
Zeki Amdouni
26'
-
Kerem Akturkoglu
40'
-
Alvaro Fernandez
65'
-
Andrea Belotti
71'
-
Nicolas Otamendi
82'
-
Fernando Fonseca
33'
-
Gustavo Pinto Mendonca
42'
-
Gustavo Assuncao
81'
Benfica vs AVS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 90.06%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for AVS had a probability of 2.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 4-0 (11.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.48%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (1.03%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Benfica
90.06%
▲
(+0.37)
Draw
7.31%
▼
(-0.21)
AVS
2.63%
▼
(-0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
37.14%
▼
(-1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
73.92%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
26.08%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
53.69%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
46.31%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
34.2%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 4.5
65.8%
▲
(+0.07)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
96.54%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
3.46%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
84.91%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
15.08%
▼
(-0.17)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5
38.47%
▼
(-1.06)
Under 0.5
61.53%
▲
(+1.07)
Over 1.5
8.59%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 1.5
91.41%
▲
(+0.53)
Score analysis
Benfica
90.05%
Draw
7.31%
AVS
2.63%
Benfica
3-0
@
13.5%
▲
(+0.22)
2-0 @ 12.03% ▲ (+0.14)
4-0 @ 11.36% ▲ (+0.23)
5-0 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.19)
1-0 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.09)
6-0 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.13)
5-1 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.02)
7-0 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.07)
7-1 @ 1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 90.05%
2-0 @ 12.03% ▲ (+0.14)
4-0 @ 11.36% ▲ (+0.23)
5-0 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.19)
1-0 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.09)
6-0 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.13)
5-1 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.02)
7-0 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.07)
7-1 @ 1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 90.05%
Draw
1-1
@
3.48%
▼
(-0.10)
0-0 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 7.31%
0-0 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 7.31%
AVS
0-1
@
1.03%
▼
(-0.04)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 2.63%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 2.63%