Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 91.65%. A draw had a probability of 6.1% and a win for Tirsense had a probability of 2.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.42%) and 2-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.88%), while for a Tirsense win it was 0-1 (0.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Tirsense
91.65% ( 0.08)	6.09% ( 0)	2.26% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 39.71% (

-1.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.02% (

-0.84)

20.99% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

60.51% (

-1.19)

39.49% (

1.19)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.48% (

-0.09)

2.52% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

88.2% (

-0.36)

11.81% (

0.37)

Tirsense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.74% (

-1.46)

59.27% (

1.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.73% (

-0.78)

90.27% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Benfica 91.64%

Tirsense 2.26%

Draw 6.09%

Benfica	Draw	Tirsense
3-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.4) 4-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.43) 5-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 5.16% ( 0) 5-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.16) 7-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.12) 7-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) 8-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.98% Total : 91.64%	1-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.34% Total : 6.09%	Other @ 2.26% Total : 2.26%