Taca de Portugal
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-
Antonio Silva
45'+3'
-
Adrian Bajrami
75'
-
Andrea Belotti
78'
-
Leandro Barreiro
90'+1'
-
Jose Goncalo Ferreira Pereira
72'
-
Giovanny Morais Silva
86'
Benfica vs Tirsense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 91.65%. A draw had a probability of 6.1% and a win for Tirsense had a probability of 2.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.42%) and 2-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.88%), while for a Tirsense win it was 0-1 (0.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Benfica
91.65%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
6.09%
▲
(+0.01)
Tirsense
2.26%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
39.71%
▼
(-1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5
79.02%
▼
(-0.84)
Under 2.5
20.99%
▲
(+0.85)
Over 3.5
60.51%
▼
(-1.19)
Under 3.5
39.49%
▲
(+1.20)
Over 4.5
41.07%
▼
(-1.26)
Under 4.5
58.93%
▲
(+1.27)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
97.48%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
2.52%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
88.2%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
11.81%
▲
(+0.37)
Tirsense Goals
Over 0.5
40.74%
▼
(-1.47)
Under 0.5
59.27%
▲
(+1.47)
Over 1.5
9.73%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 1.5
90.27%
▲
(+0.79)
Score analysis
Benfica
91.64%
Draw
6.09%
Tirsense
2.26%
Benfica
3-0
@
12.41%
▲
(+0.41)
4-0 @ 11.42% ▲ (+0.25)
2-0 @ 10.12% ▲ (+0.43)
5-0 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.16)
1-0 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.30)
2-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.17)
7-0 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.03)
6-1 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.12)
7-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.09)
8-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 91.64%
4-0 @ 11.42% ▲ (+0.25)
2-0 @ 10.12% ▲ (+0.43)
5-0 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.16)
1-0 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.30)
2-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.17)
7-0 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.03)
6-1 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.12)
7-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.09)
8-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 91.64%
Draw
1-1
@
2.88%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 6.09%
0-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 6.09%
Tirsense
Other @
2.26%
Total : 2.26%
Total : 2.26%