MX23RW : Saturday, May 17 09:44:19| >> :600:1861027:1861027:
Benfica
Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 23, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
4 - 0
Tirsense

Silva (45+3'), Bajrami (75'), Belotti (78'), Barreiro (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Goncalo Ferreira Pereira (72'), Morais Silva (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Benfica and Tirsense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, April 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Tirsense 0-5 Benfica
Wednesday, April 9 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Benfica 4-1 Tirsense

Benfica remain overwhelming favourites heading into this encounter, and although Lage is expected to rotate heavily and rest several key players, another emphatic victory should still be on the cards, even if the visitors manage to nick a consolation, just as they did on their last visit to Estadio da Luz. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 91.65%. A draw had a probability of 6.1% and a win for Tirsense had a probability of 2.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.42%) and 2-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.88%), while for a Tirsense win it was 0-1 (0.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawTirsense
91.65% (0.079000000000008 0.08) 6.09% (0.0030000000000001 0) 2.26% (-0.077 -0.08)
Both teams to score 39.71% (-1.468 -1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.02% (-0.83699999999999 -0.84)20.99% (0.843 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.51% (-1.186 -1.19)39.49% (1.192 1.19)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.48% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)2.52% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.2% (-0.35900000000001 -0.36)11.81% (0.366 0.37)
Tirsense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.74% (-1.463 -1.46)59.27% (1.469 1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.73% (-0.781 -0.78)90.27% (0.789 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 91.64%
    Tirsense 2.26%
    Draw 6.09%
BenficaDrawTirsense
3-0 @ 12.41% (0.4 0.4)
4-0 @ 11.42% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 10.12% (0.427 0.43)
5-0 @ 8.41% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 5.98% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-0 @ 5.5% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 5.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
6-0 @ 5.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 4.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
7-0 @ 2.71% (-0.029 -0.03)
6-1 @ 2.7% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.117 -0.12)
7-1 @ 1.42% (-0.084 -0.08)
8-0 @ 1.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.15% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 91.64%
1-1 @ 2.88% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 1.5% (0.094 0.09)
2-2 @ 1.39% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 6.09%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 2.26%

How you voted: Benfica vs Tirsense

Benfica
95.0%
Draw
5.0%
Tirsense
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2025 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Tirsense
0-5
Benfica

Morais Silva (80'), Oliveira Rodrigues (86')
Pedro (16' og.), Pedro Seno Luis Rego (26'), Prestianni (67'), Cabral (72'), Schjelderup (84')
Cabral (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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