Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 19, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
0 - 3
Benfica

Villanueva (52'), Samu (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pavlidis (21', 84'), Fernandez (77')
Akturkoglu (45+1'), Fernandez (71'), Luis (90+4'), di Maria (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Guimaraes
Friday, April 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 2-2 Arouca
Sunday, April 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Benfica
22.75% ( -0.57)	23.55% ( -0.14)	53.71% ( 0.72)

Both teams to score 53.89% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.24% (

0.02)

46.76% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.98% (

0.02)

69.02% (

-0.02)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.19% (

-0.5)

34.81% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.46% (

-0.54)

71.54% (

0.54)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.66% (

0.27)

17.34% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.29% (

0.47)

47.71% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 22.75%

Benfica 53.71%

Draw 23.54%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.75%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.54%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.71% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 5.41% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.76% Total : 53.71%