Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a O Elvas win with a probability of 47.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Tirsense had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a O Elvas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Tirsense win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.