Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tirsense win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Brito had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tirsense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Brito win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tirsense in this match.