Taca de Portugal | Third Round

Oct 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Parque de Jogos do Brito SC (Brito)

Brito
1 - 0
Moura

Cesar Santos Almeida (65')
Andre Fernandes Lopes (79'), Conceicao Melo (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

de Aquino Ferreira (60')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Brito and Moura.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brito win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Moura had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brito win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Moura win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brito in this match.

Result
Brito	Draw	Moura
64.29% ( 0.11)	21.74%	13.96% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 43.53% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.69% (

-0.19)

52.31% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26% (

-0.16)

74% (

0.17)

Brito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.37% (

-0.03)

15.63% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.36% (

-0.05)

44.64% (

0.06)

Moura Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.59% (

-0.27)

48.41% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.47% (

-0.2)

83.53% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Brito 64.29%

Moura 13.96%

Draw 21.73%

Brito	Draw	Moura
1-0 @ 14.04% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 64.29%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.73%	0-1 @ 5.49% 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 13.96%