Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brito win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Moura had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brito win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Moura win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brito in this match.