Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Porto
May 2, 2025 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Do Dragao
Moreirense
  • Pepe 33' yellowcard
  • Francisco Moura 40' goal
  • Stephen Eustaquio 42' yellowcard
  • Samu Omorodion 70' goal
  • Samu Omorodion 79' goal
  • Danny Loader 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivo Rodrigues 23'
  • goal Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 31'
  • yellowcard Dinis Pinto 36'
  • yellowcard Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 71'

Porto vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 8.30pm
Estrela Amadora 2 - 0 Porto
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Samu Omorodion

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 3.30pm
Moreirense 1 - 1 Nacional
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Alan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.44%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 7.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.02%) and 1-0 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result

Porto 77.44% ▲ (+0.65)
Draw 14.77% ▼ (-0.42)
Moreirense 7.79% ▼ (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.42% ▲ (+0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.12% ▲ (+1.16)
Under 2.5 38.88% ▼ (-1.16)
Over 3.5 38.81% ▲ (+1.21)
Under 3.5 61.19% ▼ (-1.21)
Over 4.5 21.19% ▲ (+0.95)
Under 4.5 78.81% ▼ (-0.95)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 91.76% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 0.5 8.24% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 1.5 71.19% ▲ (+1.04)
Under 1.5 28.81% ▼ (-1.04)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 48.41% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 0.5 51.59% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 1.5 14.26% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 85.74% ▼ (-0.16)

Score analysis

Porto 77.43%
Draw 14.77%
Moreirense 7.79%
Porto
2-0 @ 13.24% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 11.02% ▲ (+0.08)
1-0 @ 10.61% ▼ (-0.37)
2-1 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.18)
4-1 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.15)
5-0 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.12)
4-2 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.06)
6-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 77.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.20)
0-0 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.24)
2-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 14.77%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.14)
1-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 7.79%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Moreirense
Dec 21, 2024 8.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Porto
  • Ruben Ramos 45' yellowcard
  • Andre Franco 77' yellowcard
  • Sidnei Tavares 90' yellowcard
  • goal Samu Omorodion 16'
  • yellowcard Galeno 25'
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 51'
  • goal Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 66'
  • yellowcard Madson 72'
  • yellowcard Ivan Jaime 72'
  • yellowcard Sidnei Tavares 87'
  • goal Andre Franco 88'
Taca de Portugal
Moreirense
Nov 24, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Porto
  • Luis Nlavo 10' yellowcard
  • Luis Nlavo 41' goal
  • Madson 43' yellowcard
  • Alan 77' goal
  • Alan 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiago Djalo 14'
  • goal Pepe 35'
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 74'
  • yellowcard Martim Fernandes 81'
Taca da Liga
Porto
Oct 31, 2024 8.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Aveiro
Moreirense
  • Andre Franco 27' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Buta 34' goal
  • Stephen Eustaquio 61' goal
  • yellowcard Bernardo Martins 14'
  • yellowcard Sidnei Tavares 58'
  • yellowcard Alan 61'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Porto
Jan 20, 2024 8.30pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
Moreirense
  • Wendell 8' goal
  • Evanilson 60' goal
  • Galeno 69' goal
  • Wendell 72' goal
  • Alan Varela 83' goal
  • yellowcard Ruben Ramos 34'
  • yellowcard Dinis Pinto 45'
  • yellowcard Pedro Aparicio 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Moreirense
Aug 14, 2023 6.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Porto
  • Tiago Manuel Barroso Valtelhas de Aguiar 0' yellowcard
  • Godfried Frimpong 51' goal
  • Lawrence Ofori 62' yellowcard
  • Dinis Pinto 76' yellowcard
  • Fabiano Silva 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Franco 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Mario 22'
  • goal Toni Martinez 67'
  • yellowcard Galeno 68'
  • yellowcard Toni Martinez 72'
  • goal Wendell 74'
  • yellowcard Wendell 78'
  • redcard Wendell 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Otavio 90'+8'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Moreirense
Feb 20, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Porto
  • Artur Jorge 3' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Camara 4' yellowcard
  • Matheus Silva 12' yellowcard
  • Lazar Rosic 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Andre Luis 68' yellowcard
  • Steven Vitoria 84' yellowcard
  • Steven Vitoria 84' redcard
  • Galego 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateus Uribe 34'
  • goal Evanilson 40'
  • yellowcard Fabio Cardoso 64'
  • yellowcard Marko Grujic 71'
  • redcard Marko Grujic 79'

Form Data

Estrela Amadora 2 - 0 Porto
Porto 2 - 1 Famalicao
Casa Pia 0 - 1 Porto
Porto 1 - 4 Benfica
Estoril 1 - 2 Porto
Porto 2 - 0 AVS
Moreirense 1 - 1 Nacional
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 0 - 2 Rio Ave
Gil Vicente 0 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 2 - 2 Guimaraes
Moreirense 1 - 0 Boavista