Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 18, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 1
Famalicao

Mora Carvalho (20', 57')
Moura (37'), Varela (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bondo Francisco (82')
Sa (25'), Aranda (45'), van de Looi (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Porto
Saturday, April 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 3-0 Estoril
Saturday, April 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Porto	Draw	Famalicao
60.05% ( 1.32)	21.71% ( -0.39)	18.24% ( -0.93)

Both teams to score 52.83% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.27% (

0.32)

44.73% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.91% (

0.31)

67.09% (

-0.31)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.52% (

0.53)

14.48% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.55% (

1.02)

42.45% (

-1.02)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.77% (

-0.84)

38.23% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.01% (

-0.81)

74.99% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

Porto 60.04%

Famalicao 18.24%

Draw 21.7%

Porto	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.71% Total : 60.04%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.7%	0-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.24%