Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 26, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
2 - 0
Porto

Kikas (38'), Ruiz (62' pen.)
Drame (55'), Ruiz (66'), Cabral (69'), Oudrhiri (90+7'), Oudrhiri (90+7'), Montoia (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vieira (34'), Varela (53'), Ramos (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, April 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Famalicao
Friday, April 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 8.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.57%) and 0-3 (11.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Porto
8.15% ( -0.04)	16.22% ( -0.02)	75.63% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 40.94% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.53% (

-0.02)

44.47% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.16% (

-0.02)

66.84% (

0.02)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.51% (

-0.1)

54.49% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.42% (

-0.06)

87.57% (

0.06)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.96% (

0.01)

10.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.88% (

0.03)

33.12% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 8.15%

Porto 75.62%

Draw 16.22%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 8.15%	1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 16.22%	0-2 @ 14.45% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 11.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.72% ( -0) 0-4 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.86% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.78% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 0-6 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 75.62%