Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 13, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
0 - 1
Farense

Lima (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Costa (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 0-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, April 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 0-0 Casa Pia
Monday, April 7 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	SC Farense
38.03% ( -0.22)	27.73% ( 0.34)	34.24% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 48.51% (

-1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.69% (

-1.33)

57.31% (

1.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.85% (

-1.07)

78.15% (

1.07)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.84% (

-0.77)

29.16% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.91% (

-0.96)

65.09% (

0.96)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.48% (

-0.76)

31.52% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.08% (

-0.88)

67.92% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 38.02%

SC Farense 34.24%

Draw 27.72%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.56% Total : 38.02%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.72%	0-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.24%