Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
