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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 44.13% | 27.78% | 28.08% |
| Both teams to score 46.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.77% | 59.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.35% | 79.64% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% | 26.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% | 61.94% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.97% | 37.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.18% | 73.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 13.05% 2-0 @ 8.62% 2-1 @ 8.57% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.95% Total : 44.13% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.79% Total : 28.08% |