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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 33.1% | 27.86% | 39.04% |
| Both teams to score 47.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.03% | 57.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.33% | 78.66% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.37% | 32.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.83% | 69.17% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% | 28.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% | 64.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 7.34% 2-0 @ 5.91% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.09% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 11.7% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 3.37% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.05% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.04% |