League Two

League Two | Gameweek 43

Apr 20, 2021 at 7pm UK

Macron Stadium

Bolton
1 - 0
Carlisle

Doyle (28')
Santos (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

(43'), Riley (56')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Bolton Wanderers and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Carlisle United
40.19%	26.88%	32.94%

Both teams to score 50.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.75%

54.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.36%

75.65%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52%

26.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.34%

61.67%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.17%

30.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.89%

67.11%

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 40.19%

Carlisle United 32.94%

Draw 26.87%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.19%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.17% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.06% Total : 32.94%

League Two

Bolton1 - 0Carlisle

Data Analysis

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Bolton
1 - 0
Carlisle