Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 16

Dec 11, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
1 - 0
Wolves

Sterling (66' pen.)
Dias (40'), Rodri (43'), Cancelo (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jimenez (45+1'), Neves (45+3'), Dendoncker (78')
Jimenez (45+2')

Reaction

Wolverhampton Wanderers react to conceding a penalty against Manchester City on December 11, 2021.

Dermot Gallagher surprised Manchester City given penalty versus Wolves

Former Premier League referee Dermot Gallagher admits he was surprised that Manchester City were given a penalty against Wolves for a Joao Moutinho handball.

Dec 13, 13:57

Wolverhampton Wanderers forward Raul Jimenez after being sent off against Manchester City on November 11, 2021.

Wolves boss Bruno Lage admits Raul Jimenez at fault for red card

Wolverhampton Wanderers head coach Bruno Lage acknowledges that Raul Jimenez deserved to be sent off against Manchester City.

Dec 11, 15:12

Conor Coady "desperately disappointed" after Wolves penalty call versus Man City

Conor Coady admits that he and his Wolverhampton Wanderers teammates are disappointed with the penalty decision which went against them versus Manchester City.

Dec 11, 14:58

Manchester City's Raheem Sterling scores from the penalty spot on December 11, 2021

Raheem Sterling's 100th Premier League goal seals narrow Manchester City win over Wolves

Raheem Sterling scores his 100th Premier League goal to help Manchester City secure a slender 1-0 victory at home against 10-man Wolverhampton Wanderers on Saturday.

Dec 11, 14:50

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 80.11%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 6.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.94%) and 1-0 (10.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
80.11%	13.48%	6.4%

Both teams to score 41.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.71%

38.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.42%

60.58%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.48%

7.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.02%

26.98%

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.02%

54.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.13%

87.87%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 80.1%

Wolverhampton Wanderers 6.4%

Draw 13.48%

Manchester City	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0 @ 13.84% 3-0 @ 11.94% 1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 8.28% 4-0 @ 7.73% 3-1 @ 7.15% 4-1 @ 4.62% 5-0 @ 4% 5-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.14% 6-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.38% 6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.18% Total : 80.1%	1-1 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.13% 2-2 @ 2.48% Other @ 0.47% Total : 13.48%	0-1 @ 2.47% 1-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.02% Total : 6.4%