Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 30, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
2 - 1
Maritimo

Evanilson (18'), Pepe (48')
Otavio (45'), Wendell (69'), Mario (78'), Grujic (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Costa (53')
Vidigal (31'), Costa (43'), Costa (51'), Winck (57'), Guitane (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 7.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.18%) and 1-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Maritimo
77.69%	14.71%	7.6%

Both teams to score 43.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.64%

39.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.3%

61.7%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.7%

8.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.05%

28.95%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.58%

52.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.72%

86.27%

Score Analysis

Porto 77.68%

Maritimo 7.6%

Draw 14.71%

Porto	Draw	Maritimo
2-0 @ 13.47% 3-0 @ 11.18% 1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 7.23% 4-0 @ 6.96% 4-1 @ 4.5% 5-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.33% 5-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.45% 6-0 @ 1.44% 6-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.96% Total : 77.68%	1-1 @ 6.99% 0-0 @ 4.35% 2-2 @ 2.81% Other @ 0.56% Total : 14.71%	0-1 @ 2.81% 1-2 @ 2.26% 0-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.62% Total : 7.6%