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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.68%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.75%) and 3-1 (6.65%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
54.68% | 20.75% | 24.57% |
Both teams to score 66.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.3% | 31.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.79% | 53.21% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.18% | 11.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.95% | 37.04% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.97% | 25.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.3% | 59.7% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 6.75% 3-1 @ 6.65% 1-0 @ 6.32% 3-0 @ 4.8% 3-2 @ 4.61% 4-1 @ 3.55% 4-0 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 2.46% 5-1 @ 1.52% 4-3 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 1.1% 5-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.68% | 1-1 @ 8.75% 2-2 @ 6.47% 0-0 @ 2.96% 3-3 @ 2.13% Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.75% | 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-1 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 2.99% 0-2 @ 2.84% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.04% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
18 | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | 17 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |