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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.47%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 5.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 0-4 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.57%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 2-1 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Ajax |
| 5.41% | 10.11% | 84.47% |
| Both teams to score 50.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.76% | 24.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.06% | 43.94% |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.96% | 47.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.49% | 82.51% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.99% | 4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.1% | 16.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 1.73% 1-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.27% Total : 5.41% | 1-1 @ 4.57% 2-2 @ 2.78% 0-0 @ 1.88% Other @ 0.88% Total : 10.11% | 0-3 @ 10.47% 0-2 @ 9.76% 0-4 @ 8.43% 1-3 @ 7.9% 1-2 @ 7.36% 1-4 @ 6.36% 0-1 @ 6.06% 0-5 @ 5.43% 1-5 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-6 @ 2.91% 2-4 @ 2.4% 1-6 @ 2.2% 2-5 @ 1.55% 0-7 @ 1.34% 1-7 @ 1.01% Other @ 4.2% Total : 84.47% |