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UEFA Conference League

PSV
Conference League | Last 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
FC Copenhagen

PSV
4 - 4
Copenhagen

Gakpo (21', 70'), Doan (50'), Zahavi (85')
Teze (75'), Gutierrez (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Bergmann Johannesson (6'), Biel (23', 78'), Lerager (43')
Kristansen (49'), Hojlund (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Copenhagen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

Last Six:
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Copenhagen

Last Six:
    Last Game: Copenhagen 3-0 AaB
    Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
    Next Game: Copenhagen vs. Horsens
    Sunday, July 17 at 3pm in Danish Superliga

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

    The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.48%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

    Result
    PSV EindhovenDrawCopenhagen
    52.7%20.72%26.58%
    Both teams to score 68.47%
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    70.45%29.55%
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    49.35%50.65%
    PSV Eindhoven Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    88.35%11.65%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    63.3%36.7%
    Copenhagen Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    77.5%22.5%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    43.94%56.06%
    Score Analysis
        PSV Eindhoven 52.7%
        Copenhagen 26.58%
        Draw 20.72%
    PSV EindhovenDrawCopenhagen
    2-1 @ 9.04%
    3-1 @ 6.48%
    2-0 @ 6.06%
    1-0 @ 5.64%
    3-2 @ 4.83%
    3-0 @ 4.34%
    4-1 @ 3.48%
    4-2 @ 2.6%
    4-0 @ 2.33%
    5-1 @ 1.5%
    4-3 @ 1.29%
    5-2 @ 1.12%
    5-0 @ 1%
    Other @ 3.01%
    Total : 52.7%
    		1-1 @ 8.41%
    2-2 @ 6.74%
    0-0 @ 2.62%
    3-3 @ 2.4%
    Other @ 0.55%
    Total : 20.72%
    		1-2 @ 6.27%
    0-1 @ 3.91%
    2-3 @ 3.35%
    1-3 @ 3.12%
    0-2 @ 2.92%
    0-3 @ 1.45%
    2-4 @ 1.25%
    1-4 @ 1.16%
    Other @ 3.15%
    Total : 26.58%

    How you voted: PSV vs Copenhagen

    PSV Eindhoven
    75.4%
    Draw
    16.9%
    Copenhagen
    7.7%
    65