Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.48%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.