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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 40.15% | 25.72% | 34.13% |
| Both teams to score 54.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% | 49.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% | 71.28% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% | 24.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% | 58.55% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% | 27.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.87% | 63.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.15% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.13% |